The issue is not whether an ML model of any kind can generate (X_ReasoningTrace, X_Answer) distributed like P_HumanExpert(X) -- the issue is always why it would do so.

By introducing modelling of "Reasoning Traces" into LLMs, and reinforcing patterns of reasoning -- this gives you a system which generates expert-like distributions of output. This lifts the "stochastic parrot" issues, or the "knowledge interpolation" problem, into different parts of the process.

It isnt my view that the "ReasoningTraces" which you think are derivable from mere "basic propositions" concerning, say, hacking are actually things that LLMs can derive. Ie., I dont think LLMs have rich representational models of what they appear to understand. Instead, they are given "reasoning proxies" which allow them to reason without such understanding. This is done by providing vast specialised datasets of reasoning examples.

In the case of hacking, there are large numbers of competitive datasets (forums, reports, etc.) which provide these reasoning traces. And no doubt, major vendors have paid a vast amount for special case expert-prepared datasets.

So I do not believe that by witholding such reasoning exemplars, and traditional "question/answer" datasets, that LLMs can infer these things.

And at least, no major vendor is doing this to my knowledge. So they are lying. They are pretending the alignment issue is "AI going rogue" when they are explicitly training the systems to "go rogue" and have done nothing at all to shape datasets to lack these capabilities. The issue here isnt alignment at all. It's training on hacking datasets.

(EDIT: Philosophically, you could ask whether the reasoning-proxies LLMs are given form a kind of 'representational structure' akin to understanding, and at least, I'd concede they model understanding. But they lack important properties (eg., LLMs cannot act on them to evolve them, as with us: when I think about one of my representations to derive (eg.,) entailments of it, I thereby revise my representation. The key properties of 'evolving self-understanding' are likely to be provided by substantial (unknown) revisions to how the training/reward layer works. No doubt one of the meanings of 'recursive self-improvement' is just such a modification).

Aligned to whom?